Showing Tag: "trump" (Show all posts)

What Explains the Trump Phenomenon?

Posted by Timothy McBride on Friday, May 13, 2016, In : Election2016 

Like almost everyone, I have been trying to figure out how it was possible that a person who has never held public office before, and who may not actually be a Republican, could be on the verge of gaining the Republican nomination.   Many conservatives cannot figure this out, especially given that he holds views that are diametrically opposed to most Republican orthodoxy.

There is no doubt that Trump has gained a large number of votes, over 10 million, which at this point are the second most e...

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Don't know nothing about history...

Posted by Timothy McBride on Tuesday, September 15, 2015, In : Election2016 
Apparently Americans really don't know much about history (guess that is obvious!)

More surprising, apparently the press doesn't know it either, or so-called "political pundits."

If they knew history they would know we have seen the likes of Donald Trump before: that is, a politician who uses over-the-top rhetoric designed to appeal to the prejudices of the masses, their fears and rile them up.

Examples abound, such as Huey Long, Father Coughlin, Franics Townsend, Jospeh McCarthy.  All of these ...
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Understanding political numbers

Posted by Timothy McBride on Tuesday, September 15, 2015, In : Election2016 
As I watch the 2016 election roll out, and again watch (with my usual disappointment) the pundits talk about the election, I am amazed that people seem to lack a simple understanding of electoral math.

Let's start with a simple story now dominating everyone's attention.  Donald Trump's so-called "surge."  

Well to understand that, remember two important things: if the polls are right he has about 30% support of REPUBLICANS and has a big lead (mean a plurality) over the other 15 candidates in th...
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About Me


Timothy McBride Timothy D. McBride, Ph.D. is a Professor at the Brown School, Washington University in St. Louis. Here you can find musings on health policy and other issues. Opinions are mine and not those of my employer. Contact: mcbridetd@gmail.com