Showing category "Politics" (Show all posts)

A short political comment

Posted by Timothy McBride on Wednesday, September 10, 2014, In : Politics 

Sometimes it amazes me how pundits seem to not either understand math, polls, or perhaps pretend not to do so.

Case in point:  pundits seem hyperbolic these days about President Obama's job approval ratings, saying how "historically low" they are, and how he is experiencing the "worst period" of polling in his presidency.  Evidence of this?  They cite just one data point, that the President has a low job approval rate of roughly 40-42%, depending on the poll.  Sounds not that great, right?

Well...
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The 2014 Senate Election Still Too Close to Call

Posted by Timothy McBride on Friday, August 29, 2014, In : Politics 
As I said in an earlier post, I am a contrarian compared to pundits and others who seem to believe the odds are very high that the Republicans will take over the Senate.  In part, as I have written about before, I think Obamacare is much less unpopular than people think (and there is increasing evidence now of that) and I think it will become more popular over time. Also, I think the candidates who are vulnerable will do better than people think (e.g. Landrieu, Hagan).

As I have pointed out be...
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My contrarian view on 2014 senate election

Posted by Timothy McBride on Monday, August 4, 2014, In : Politics 

I have long believed the pundits have it wrong (as they often do J ) on whether the Senate will flip to the Republicans, in their gloom and doom scenarios.  Mostly my view on this is because the press and pundits have so badly understood the Affordable Care Act (ACA) for so long, and how the public views it, and how it will be viewed by November.  In particular, I think the popular press view is that ACA is very unpopular and that therefore the Democrats and incumbent Senators will be punishe...


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Why we have political gridlock

Posted by Timothy McBride on Wednesday, March 13, 2013, In : Politics 
Many people ponder why we have political gridlock in Washington DC and in the states.  There are several theories on this, and some of these make make a lot of sense.  More on other theories later.

But one of the important ones that I want to discuss here is what I hear quietly in private, but that these folks will not say in public.  

Politicians who would otherwise be "moderates," especially in the Republican party (but sometimes Democrats too) have been afraid for at least 2-3 political cycl...

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About Me


Timothy McBride Timothy D. McBride, Ph.D. is a Professor at the Brown School, Washington University in St. Louis. Here you can find musings on health policy and other issues. Opinions are my own, and not those of my employer. Contact: mcbridetd@gmail.com